作者/乔治·G. 斯皮罗（George G.Szpiro） 世界知名科普作家，一位从数学家转行的记者，苏黎世联邦理工学院数学硕士，斯坦福大学管理硕士，希伯来大学数学经济学博士，曾任教于希伯来大学、苏黎世大学等，长期担任瑞士报纸《新苏黎世报》驻以色列特派员。著有《开普勒的猜想》《定价未来》《数学的秘密生活》等。 其中《数学的秘密生活》中文版已销售超过30万册。 译者/秦传安 自由译者，生于湖口，现居北京。以译书谋稻粱，托刘伶为知己，攀陶令作老乡。

This revolutionary work taught the world how to systematically distinguish between risk -- randomness with knowable probabilities -- and uncertainty -- randomness with unknowable probabilities -- in order to accurately and properly ascertain a venture's potential profitability. Knight's methodology served as the foundation of the Chicago School of Economics.

This revolutionary work taught the world how to systematically distinguish between risk -- randomness with knowable probabilities -- and uncertainty -- randomness with unknowable probabilities -- in order to accurately and properly ascertain a venture's potential profitability. Knight's methodology served as the foundation of the Chicago School of Economics.

This 2009 book describes the classical axiomatic theories of decision under uncertainty, as well as critiques thereof and alternative theories. It focuses on the meaning of probability, discussing some definitions and surveying their scope of applicability. The behavioral definition of subjective probability serves as a way to present the classical theories, culminating in Sava...(展开全部)

Much economic advice is bogus quantification, warn two leading experts in this essential book. Invented numbers offer false security; we need instead robust narratives that yield the confidence to manage uncertainty. Some uncertainties are resolvable. The insurance industry’s actuarial tables and the gambler’s roulette wheel both yield to the tools of probability theory. Most s...(展开全部)

Highlighting the role of psychological experimentation, "The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making" is an informative and engaging introduction to the field written in a style that is equally accessible to the introductory psychology student, the lay person, or the professional. A unique feature of this volume is the Reader Survey which readers are to complete before begin...(展开全部)

The Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making is a state-of-the art overview of current topics and research in judgment and decision making. Chapters are contributed by experts in the field from various disciplines such as psychology, cognitive science, business, and law. The selection of topics reflects current trends and controversies on judgment and decision-making....(展开全部)

Highlighting the role of psychological experimentation, "The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making" is an informative and engaging introduction to the field written in a style that is equally accessible to the introductory psychology student, the lay person, or the professional. A unique feature of this volume is the Reader Survey which readers are to complete before begin...(展开全部)

The Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making is a state-of-the art overview of current topics and research in judgment and decision making. Chapters are contributed by experts in the field from various disciplines such as psychology, cognitive science, business, and law. The selection of topics reflects current trends and controversies on judgment and decision-making....(展开全部)

In the second edition of "Rational Choice in an Uncertain World", the authors compare the basic principles of rationality with actual behavior in making decisions. They describe theories and research findings from the field of judgment and decision making in a non-technical manner, using anecdotes as a teaching device. Intended as an introductory textbook for advanced undergrad...(展开全部)